| 引用本文: | 索瑞鸿,宋依群.计及负荷规模效应的售电公司决策研究[J].电力系统保护与控制,2019,47(11):95-102.[点击复制] |
| SUO Ruihong,SONG Yiqun.Decision-making study of electricity retailers considering the economies of scale[J].Power System Protection and Control,2019,47(11):95-102[点击复制] |
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| 摘要: |
| 负荷规模对售电公司的市场参与和盈利起着重要作用。从规模经济学的角度分析了售电公司负荷规模对其经营成本和盈利能力的意义；然后考虑一定规模的售电公司与发电市场的相互作用，构建详细的购电价格模型，并基于心理学模型建立售电价格与负荷规模的关系。在此基础上，考虑市场价格与需求的不确定性，应用随机规划理论构建售电公司决策模型，以实现单位负荷的利润最大和风险最小化。模型构成的EPEC(Equilibrium Problem With Equilibrium Constraints)问题，采用敏感度函数法迭代求解。算例结果表明，该算法可以有效收敛，且售电公司的规模对降低单位购电成本具有经济效益。 |
| 关键词: 售电公司 规模效应 购售电 风险评估 电力市场 |
| DOI：10.7667/PSPC20191113 |
| 投稿时间：2018-07-06 |
| 基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目资助(2016YFB0900100) |
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| Decision-making study of electricity retailers considering the economies of scale |
| SUO Ruihong,SONG Yiqun |
| (Key Laboratory of Control of Power Transmission and Transformation Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 200240, China) |
| Abstract: |
| Load scale has an important impact on market participation and profitability of an electricity retailer. From the perspective of scale economies, this paper analyses the significance of load scale on the operating cost and profitability of an electricity retailer. Then considering the interaction between power generation market and the retailer of a certain scale, a detailed price model of electricity purchasing is constructed. The connection between power retail price and load scale is established based on the psychological model. On this basis, considering the uncertainty of power purchasing price and demand, the stochastic programming theory is used to construct the decision model of a retailer, so as to maximize profit and minimize risk of unit load. The Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints (EPEC) problem developed by constructed model is solved with the iterative sensitivity function method. The numerical results show that the algorithm can effectively converge, and load scale has economic benefits in reducing unit purchasing cost. This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2016YFB0900100). |
| Key words: electricity retailer scale economies power purchasing and selling risk assessment electricity market |
