| 引用本文: | 周春雷,刘文思,张羽舒,等.基于系统动力学的碳标签产品市场均衡策略[J].电力系统保护与控制,2024,52(9):70-78.[点击复制] |
| ZHOU Chunlei,LIU Wensi,ZHANG Yushu,et al.Market equilibrium strategy of carbon-labeled products based on system dynamics[J].Power System Protection and Control,2024,52(9):70-78[点击复制] |
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| 摘要: |
| 随着新型电力系统逐渐向为低碳化、高效化和智能化转型，发电和用电市场正在整合为统一的能源市场。为解决碳标签产品市场普及率低、交易市场活性不高的问题，提出基于系统动力学的碳标签产品市场均衡策略。首先，采用基于系统动力学的Stackelberg博弈模型，结合环境效用补贴机制，以买卖双方利益最大化为目标。其次，通过模拟分析和Vensim软件的支持，设计了碳标签产品消费市场存量流量图，考察环境效用、需求度、政府补贴和产品价格等因素对博弈结果的影响。然后，通过理解环境效用、需求度、政府补贴和产品价格等因素对博弈结果的影响，制定有效的策略来促进碳标签产品的普及和市场活性，为碳标签产品市场发展提供了重要的支持和决策依据。最后，根据系统动力学模型仿真结果显示，该模型能够清晰定位消费者对产品的购买偏好，并揭示出售商自主更新碳减排技术的关键影响因素，为研究碳标签产品市场的动态变化提供了新的思路。 |
| 关键词: 系统动力学 碳标签 Stackelberg博弈 存量流量图 激励机制 |
| DOI：10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.231423 |
| 投稿时间：2023-12-06修订日期：2024-03-24 |
| 基金项目:国家社科基金项目资助(19BGL003)；国网大数据中心基于多维度分析的重点行业碳标签关键技术研究与应用项目资助(52999022000B) |
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| Market equilibrium strategy of carbon-labeled products based on system dynamics |
| ZHOU Chunlei1,LIU Wensi1,ZHANG Yushu1,CHEN Xiang1,HU Xishuang1,HU Anduo2 |
| (1. Big Data Center of State Grid Corporation of China, Beijing 100032, China; 2. School of Electronics and Information
Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 201306, China) |
| Abstract: |
| As the new power system gradually transforms into a low-carbon, high-efficient, and intelligent system, generation and consumption markets are being integrated into a unified energy market. To solve the problems of low market penetration and low trading market activity of carbon labeled products, a market equilibrium strategy for carbon labeled products based on system dynamics is proposed. First, a Stackelberg game model based on system dynamics is adopted, combined with an environmental utility subsidy mechanism, with the goal of maximizing the interests of both buyers and sellers. Secondly, through simulation analysis and the support of Vensim software, a stock flow chart of a carbon labeled product consumption market is designed to examine the impact of factors such as environmental utility, demand, government subsidies, and product prices on the game results. Then, by understanding the impact of these factors, effective strategies are formulated to promote the popularization and market activity of carbon labeled products, providing important support and a decision-making basis for the development of this market. Finally, the simulation results using a system dynamics model show that through case analysis the model can clearly identify consumer purchasing preferences for products and reveal the key influencing factors for sellers to independently update carbon reduction technologies, providing a comprehensive analysis for studying the dynamic changes in the carbon labeled product market. |
| Key words: system dynamics carbon label Stackelberg game stock flow chart excitation mechanism |
